Daily briefing
META (0.40 avg)
NVDA (0.40 avg)
AAPL (0.20 avg)
AMZN (0.20 avg)
Current Events
NO BTC price up in next 15 mins?
17% implied probability
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 AM
Confidence: 82
Momentum: 1.28x
Volume: 185,634
Signal: NO
Sports
YES Who will win MVP?
3% implied probability
Match closes Apr 12, 2027, 2:00 PM
Confidence: 78
Momentum: 1.09x
Volume: 118,075
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Will Clement Chidekh win the Chidekh vs Gadamauri : Round Of 16 match?
78% implied probability
Match closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
Confidence: 75
Momentum: 1.04x
Volume: 101,340
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Will Harry Wendelken win the Fomin vs Wendelken : Round Of 16 match?
74% implied probability
Match closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
Confidence: 71
Momentum: 1.00x
Volume: 86,592
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Will Buvaysar Gadamauri win the Chidekh vs Gadamauri : Round Of 16 match?
24% implied probability
Match closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
Confidence: 71
Momentum: 1.00x
Volume: 85,104
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich winner
61% implied probability
Match closes Apr 14, 2026, 7:00 PM
Confidence: 69
Momentum: 1.08x
Volume: 2,100
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid winner
58% implied probability
Match closes Apr 15, 2026, 4:30 PM
Confidence: 66
Momentum: 1.03x
Volume: 1,900
Signal: YES
Sports
YES Manchester City vs Arsenal winner
57% implied probability
Match closes Apr 16, 2026, 3:00 PM
Confidence: 65
Momentum: 1.01x
Volume: 1,850
Signal: YES
Combo 1: 3-leg user trend
Grouped from recent public trade volume in the last hour (Kalshi). Not investment advice.
Combined probability: 1%
Total volume: 405,049
Last leg closes Apr 12, 2027, 2:00 PM
NO BTC price up in next 15 mins? (17% · vol 185,634)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 AM
YES Who will win MVP? (3% · vol 118,075)
Market closes Apr 12, 2027, 2:00 PM
YES Will Clement Chidekh win the Chidekh vs Gadamauri : Round Of 16 match? (78% · vol 101,340)
Market closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
Combo 2: 3-leg user trend
Grouped from recent public trade volume in the last hour (Kalshi). Not investment advice.
Combined probability: 5%
Total volume: 250,735
Last leg closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
YES Will Harry Wendelken win the Fomin vs Wendelken : Round Of 16 match? (74% · vol 86,592)
Market closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
YES Will Buvaysar Gadamauri win the Chidekh vs Gadamauri : Round Of 16 match? (24% · vol 85,104)
Market closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
YES Will Sergey Fomin win the Fomin vs Wendelken : Round Of 16 match? (29% · vol 79,039)
Market closes Apr 23, 2026, 4:10 AM
Combo 3: 3-leg user trend
Grouped from recent public trade volume in the last hour (Kalshi). Not investment advice.
Combined probability: 0%
Total volume: 200,077
Last leg closes Apr 26, 2026, 11:00 PM
YES BTC price up in next 15 mins? (51% · vol 78,827)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 5:30 AM
YES Will Xander Schauffele win the Masters Tournament? (6% · vol 67,598)
Market closes Apr 26, 2026, 11:00 PM
YES Will Bubba Watson win the Masters Tournament? (0% · vol 53,652)
Market closes Apr 26, 2026, 11:00 PM
#1 piefilling
Weekly predictions: 8,617
Live · weekly Predictions leaderboard
Yesterday
YES Michigan wins title (74c)
Match closes Apr 7, 2026, 2:00 AM
YES BTC above 100k (61c)
Market closes Apr 7, 2026, 11:59 PM
NO Fed cuts rates (45c)
Market closes Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM
Today
NO Yankees win game (43c)
Match closes Apr 8, 2026, 11:05 PM
YES Candidate X wins state (58c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 3:00 AM
YES NVIDIA closes above 1000 (54c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tomorrow
YES Chiefs win (70c)
Match closes Apr 9, 2026, 11:30 PM
NO Hottest day this week (41c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 10:00 PM
NO ETH above 6k (39c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 11:59 PM
#2 weatherman.allday
Weekly predictions: 8,350
Live · weekly Predictions leaderboard
Yesterday
YES Dodgers win (66c)
Match closes Apr 7, 2026, 1:10 AM
NO Fed cuts rates (46c)
Market closes Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM
NO Kansas wins title (44c)
Match closes Apr 7, 2026, 2:15 AM
Today
YES Bill passes Senate (57c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 9:00 PM
YES Movie tops box office (62c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 4:00 AM
YES S&P closes green (60c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tomorrow
YES BTC above 105k (63c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 11:59 PM
#3 brunoBowser
Weekly predictions: 8,196
Live · weekly Predictions leaderboard
Yesterday
YES Chiefs win (70c)
Match closes Apr 7, 2026, 11:30 PM
NO ETH above 6k (39c)
Market closes Apr 7, 2026, 11:59 PM
YES Lakers win (55c)
Match closes Apr 7, 2026, 2:30 AM
Today
NO Inflation beats estimate (49c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 12:30 PM
YES Apple launches new device (51c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 4:00 PM
YES Approval rating rises (56c)
Market closes Apr 8, 2026, 10:00 PM
Tomorrow
YES Home team covers spread (59c)
Match closes Apr 9, 2026, 11:00 PM
#1 Nancy Pelosi
House
Last 4 trades
BUY NVDA ($500k-$1m) 2026-04-06
BUY AAPL ($100k-$250k) 2026-04-05
SELL MSFT ($50k-$100k) 2026-04-03
BUY GOOGL ($100k-$250k) 2026-04-01
#2 Tommy Tuberville
Senate
Last 4 trades
BUY TSLA ($50k-$100k) 2026-04-07
SELL AMZN ($15k-$50k) 2026-04-05
BUY PLTR ($15k-$50k) 2026-04-02
BUY META ($50k-$100k) 2026-03-31
NO Underdog wins matchup (47c)
Match closes Apr 9, 2026, 7:00 PM
YES Storm warning issued (52c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 2:00 PM
NO Award winner announced (42c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 11:59 PM
YES Nasdaq closes higher (58c)
Market closes Apr 9, 2026, 8:00 PM
#3 Dan Crenshaw
House
Last 4 trades
BUY AMD ($15k-$50k) 2026-04-06
SELL JPM ($15k-$50k) 2026-04-04
BUY NFLX ($50k-$100k) 2026-04-02
BUY AVGO ($15k-$50k) 2026-03-30
#4 Elon Musk
Public Figure
Last 4 trades
BUY TSLA ($1m-$5m) 2026-04-07
BUY NVDA ($500k-$1m) 2026-04-05
SELL GOOGL ($250k-$500k) 2026-04-03
BUY META ($250k-$500k) 2026-04-01
#5 Bill Gates
Public Figure
Last 4 trades
BUY MSFT ($500k-$1m) 2026-04-06
BUY AMZN ($250k-$500k) 2026-04-04
SELL AAPL ($100k-$250k) 2026-04-02
BUY BRK.B ($250k-$500k) 2026-03-31